{"id":61565,"date":"2023-08-13T23:03:27","date_gmt":"2023-08-13T21:03:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/?p=61565"},"modified":"2023-08-13T23:03:27","modified_gmt":"2023-08-13T21:03:27","slug":"le-labyrinthe-nigerien-ou-le-dilemme-de-la-cedeao-ibrahima-sanoh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/?p=61565","title":{"rendered":"Le labyrinthe nig\u00e9rien ou le dilemme de la CEDEAO [Ibrahima Sanoh]"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div style=\"margin-bottom:20px;\"><img width=\"1080\" height=\"791\"src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" decoding=\"async\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?resize=300%2C220&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?resize=768%2C562&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?resize=1024%2C750&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?resize=86%2C64&amp;ssl=1 86w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\" data-attachment-id=\"199966\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/mediaguinee.com\/je-ne-repondrai-pas-a-lappel-a-la-mobilisation-du-fndc-et-de-ses-allies-ibrahima-sanoh\/sanoh-ibrahima\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?fit=1080%2C791&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1080,791\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta='{\"aperture\":\"0\",\"credit\":\"\",\"camera\":\"\",\"caption\":\"\",\"created_timestamp\":\"0\",\"copyright\":\"\",\"focal_length\":\"0\",\"iso\":\"0\",\"shutter_speed\":\"0\",\"title\":\"\",\"orientation\":\"0\"}' data-image-title=\"Sanoh Ibrahima\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?fit=300%2C220&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mediaguinee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Sanoh-Ibrahima.jpg?fit=1024%2C750&amp;ssl=1\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Deux \u00a0semaines apr\u00e8s la survenue du coup d\u2019Etat au Niger, la CEDEAO qui avait donn\u00e9 un ultimatum \u00e0 la junte ayant accapar\u00e9 \u00a0le pouvoir \u00a0dans ce pays \u00a0peine \u00e0 y faire valoir son option militaire. \u00a0Celle-l\u00e0 est d\u00e9conseill\u00e9e \u00a0par certains pays dont les Etats-<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Unis d\u2019Am\u00e9rique.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Apr\u00e8s \u00a0avoir d\u00e9nonc\u00e9 \u00a0le coup <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">d\u2019Etat,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> la <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">CEDEAO,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">comme elle l\u2019a fait au \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Mali,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> au Burkina Faso et en \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Guin\u00e9e,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> a impos\u00e9 une \u00a0s\u00e9rie de sanctions au Niger. Ces sanctions font \u00a0l\u2019objet \u00a0de diverses appr\u00e9ciations. \u00a0Le cadre juridique les justifiant \u00a0est mis en doute. Et \u00a0pas que. \u00a0Leur efficacit\u00e9 aussi. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Dans l\u2019opinion <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">internationale,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> certains analystes \u00e9mettent \u00a0des doutes \u00a0quant \u00e0 l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 \u00a0 d\u2019une \u00a0intervention militaire \u00a0 de la CEDEAO pour r\u00e9tablir \u00a0au Niger l\u2019ordre constitutionnel rompu depuis le 26 <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">juillet. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Si on doute de l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 \u00a0des sanctions et on \u00a0remet en cause l\u2019id\u00e9e \u00a0de l\u2019intervention \u00a0militaire \u00a0au <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Niger,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> alors, que doit y faire la \u00a0CEDEAO ? <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><strong><span class=\"s2\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0De \u00a0l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 \u00a0des sanctions<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">La batterie de sanctions de la CEDEAO contre les ruptures de d\u00e9mocratie \u00a0est la m\u00eame partout. Il est permis de dire qu\u2019\u00e0 \u00a0ce niveau la CEDEAO manque d\u2019ing\u00e9niosit\u00e9 \u00a0tant les pays sont diff\u00e9rents et les m\u00e9canismes de transmission de l\u2019effet des sanctions ne seraient pas les m\u00eames. \u00a0Ces sanctions <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">comprennent :<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><strong><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">1- La fermeture des fronti\u00e8res terrestres et a\u00e9riennes \u00a0entre le<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">s pays de la CEDEAO et le Niger<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Le <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Niger,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> tout comme \u00a0le Mali, est un pays enclav\u00e9. \u00a0Il \u00a0est aussi confront\u00e9 \u00a0\u00e0 l\u2019ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00a0dans ses parties frontali\u00e8res \u00a0avec le \u00a0Mali et le \u00a0Burkina Faso. Le Niger partage plus de 1500 Km avec le <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Nig\u00e9ria. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">C\u2019est \u00a0un pays d\u2019importation \u00a0et l\u2019essentiel \u00a0de ses \u00a0produits import\u00e9s transitent par \u00a0le B\u00e9nin et le Nig\u00e9ria, \u00a0pays de la \u00a0CEDEAO \u00a0qui lui ont ferm\u00e9 les fronti\u00e8res. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Il sied de dire que la fermeture \u00a0des fronti\u00e8res \u00a0entre les pays de la CEDEAO \u00a0et le Niger entra\u00eenera la flamb\u00e9e \u00a0des prix des produits alimentaires. \u00a0Comme au Mali, au Burkina Faso, les solutions de contournement existent. \u00a0 <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Cependant,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les fronti\u00e8res \u00a0du Mali et du Burkina sont risqu\u00e9es \u00a0en raison de l\u2019ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00a0en vigueur dans ces pays. Les \u00a0axes \u00a0du contournement sont les ports d\u2019Alger et \u00a0les \u00a0routes menant au <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Tchad. Niamey \u00e9tant distant \u00a0de<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> ces lieux d\u2019approvisionnement \u00a0par <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">substitution,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les co\u00fbts \u00a0de transports feront <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">rench\u00e9rir<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les prix des commodit\u00e9s.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Plus les sanctions <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">dures,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> plus les risques d\u2019approvisionnement deviendront \u00a0\u00e9lev\u00e9s \u00a0\u00e9tant \u00a0donn\u00e9 que les grands axes B\u00e9nin \u00a0et Nig\u00e9ria \u00a0 sont ferm\u00e9s \u00a0\u00e0 \u00a0cause \u00a0des sanctions de la CEDEAO. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><strong><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">2- La suspension des transactio<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ns \u00a0commerciales et financi\u00e8res<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">La CEDEAO est un grand \u00a0partenaire commercial et financier \u00a0du Niger. \u00a0Les exportations nig\u00e9riennes vont essentiellement \u00a0dans les pays de la CEDEAO <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">(66<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, 8 % en 2021) et ces exportations portent sur<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">produits \u00a0p\u00e9troliers \u00a0et dans une moindre mesure \u00a0sur le ni\u00e9b\u00e9, \u00a0l\u2019oignon, les animaux sur pied et la r\u00e9exporta<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">tion \u00a0\u00e0 destination du Nig\u00e9ria.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Les suspensions des transactions commerciales et financi\u00e8res entre les pays<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> de la CEDEAO \u00a0et le Niger \u00a0auront <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sans doute des cons\u00e9quences \u00a0sur les commer\u00e7ants \u00a0et les entreprises de m\u00eame \u00a0que les agriculteurs nig\u00e9riens. Ils r\u00e9aliseront des pertes \u00a0\u00e9normes \u00a0\u00e0 mesure que \u00a0dureront les sanctions.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><strong><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">3-La suspension du Niger de toutes les formes \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">d\u2019assistance \u00a0avec les institutions <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sous r\u00e9gionales<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> \u00a0et le gel des avoirs du Niger dans les banques des pays de la CEDEAO<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Le Niger a beau am\u00e9lior\u00e9 \u00a0son niveau de mobilisation des ressources <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">internes,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> il reste encore tr\u00e8s d\u00e9pendant \u00a0de l\u2019aide \u00e9trang\u00e8re. Cette aide fait plus de 15 % \u00a0de son budget <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">(selon la <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Loi de Finances Initiales de 2023). Les autres institutions internationales ont emprunt\u00e9 \u00a0la voie de la CEDEAO \u00a0en mettant fin \u00e0 leurs assistances financi\u00e8res au Niger. \u00a0L\u2019Allemagne a suspendu son programme d\u2019aide \u00a0de 120 millions d\u2019euros <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">approuv\u00e9<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> en 2021, \u00a0la France qui avait annonc\u00e9 \u00a0une aide de 131,6 millions d\u2019euros en 2022 a suspendu toutes ses aides au d\u00e9veloppement et au budget. \u00a0L\u2019aide \u00a0am\u00e9ricaine de \u00a0233 millions de dollars promises pour cette ann\u00e9e est menac\u00e9e par le coup <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">d\u2019Etat.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> \u00a0L\u2019Union Europ\u00e9enne en plus d\u2019avoir r\u00e9duit son aide budg\u00e9taire au Niger y a \u00a0rompu sa coop\u00e9ration \u00a0en mati\u00e8re s\u00e9curitaire. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Le Nig\u00e9ria \u00a0qui assurait \u00a070 % de l\u2019alimentation en \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 du Niger a coup\u00e9 le couran<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">t \u00e9lectrique \u00a0allant au Niger. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Les \u00a0projets <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">d\u2019investissement,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les projets de d\u00e9veloppement \u00a0 seront ainsi affect\u00e9s et de m\u00eame que le fonctionnement de l\u2019administration publique. \u00a0Un ch\u00f4mage dit technique pourrait en r\u00e9sulter. \u00a0Le projet de construction \u00a0du barrage \u00e9lectrique \u00a0de Kalandji est <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">deca<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> aux arr<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00eats \u00a0et aussi celui du Gazoduc transafricain. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Les 14 \u00e9tablissements \u00a0bancaires du pays et les 6 \u00e9tablissements \u00a0financiers ne travailleront pas dans les conditions optimales jusqu\u2019\u00e0 \u00a0l\u2019\u00e9puisement <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">de leurs stocks de liquidit\u00e9s. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Le pays ne pourra \u00a0pas acc\u00e9der au march\u00e9 <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sous r\u00e9gional<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> des \u00a0obligataires \u00a0et le d\u00e9faut de \u00a0paiement pourrait advenir dans les prochains mois au \u00a0Niger. \u00a0Les avoirs du pays \u00e0 la BCEAO sont gel\u00e9s. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Etant donn\u00e9 la fragilit\u00e9 structurelle de l\u2019\u00e9conomie \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">nig\u00e9rienne,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> l\u2019impact \u00a0des sanctions n\u2019est \u00a0pas \u00e0 n\u00e9gliger. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Seulement,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les militaires qu\u2019elles visent en premier lieu pourraient ne pas les subir et les populations nig\u00e9riennes parmi les plus pauvres du monde pourraient \u00a0en payer le plus fort. Le risque d\u2019aggravation de la pauvret\u00e9 par le truchement \u00a0des sanctions est tr\u00e8s grand. Selon \u00a0l\u2019ONU, cette <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ann\u00e9e,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> 4, 3 millions de nig\u00e9riens pourraient \u00eatre touch\u00e9s par la famine. Leur nombre pourra augmenter au gr\u00e9 du maintien des sanc<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">tions et de leur renforcement.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><strong><span class=\"s2\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Renverser pour r\u00e9tablir <\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Quelques \u00a0pays ont vivement d\u00e9conseill\u00e9 \u00a0l\u2019option \u00a0de l\u2019intervention \u00a0militaire \u00a0de la CEDEAO au Niger, c\u2019est \u00a0le cas surtout de certains \u00a0pays \u00a0non membres de la CEDEAO et partageant<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> des fronti\u00e8res \u00a0avec le Niger\u00a0: le <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Tch<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ad et \u00a0l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie, et aussi \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">la Mauritanie, membre du G7 Sahel. En dehors de l\u2019Afrique, les Etats-Unis d\u2019Am\u00e9rique conseillent la voie diplomatique. \u00a0Les raisons all\u00e9gu\u00e9es \u00a0par les d<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">irigeants de ces \u00a0 pays \u00a0sont les risques de <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisation de l\u2019instabilit\u00e9 dans le Sahel, les cons\u00e9quences <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sociales,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> humanitaires \u00a0et \u00e9conomiques que pourraient engendrer l\u2019intervention \u00a0militaire de la CEDEAO. Comme \u00a0ce fut le cas en <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Libye,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> la CEDEAO \u00a0pourra y r\u00e9ussir \u00a0ses objectifs dont la restauration du Pr\u00e9sident \u00a0pris en otage par la junte, \u00a0mais son intervention \u00a0n<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">e favorisera pas la stabilit\u00e9. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">L\u2019intervention \u00a0militaire de la CEDEAO affaiblira les capacit\u00e9s \u00a0militaires \u00a0nig\u00e9riennes. Cette situation \u00a0sera une aubaine \u00a0pour \u00a0les djihadistes \u00a0pour renforcer leurs positions. A la restauration du Pr\u00e9sident \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">d\u00e9chu,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">il ne pourra plus diriger car le pays entier sera en proie \u00e0 l\u2019instabilit\u00e9 \u00a0g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">L\u2019intervention \u00a0de la CEDEAO \u00a0fait courir \u00a0le risque de transformation \u00a0du \u00a0Niger en l\u2019Afghanistan du Sahel. La CEDEAO \u00a0pourrait faire la guerre pour qu\u2019enfin \u00a0le Pr\u00e9sident <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Bazoum<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> ne revienne plus au pouvoir. L\u2019intervention \u00a0militaire de la CEDEAO \u00a0mettra sa vie en danger. \u00a0Au cas o\u00f9 elle \u00e9chouait, elle \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">attiserait<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les tensions ethniques \u00a0et les vell\u00e9it\u00e9s \u00a0s\u00e9cessionnist<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">es surtout \u00a0chez les Touaregs.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">L\u2019intervention \u00a0militaire \u00a0des pays de la CEDEAO \u00a0au Niger donnera l\u2019impression \u00a0d\u2019une \u00a0guerre occidentale par procuration. La France dont la politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re \u00a0est de plus en plus \u00a0r\u00e9cus\u00e9e \u00a0par les jeunes francophones d\u2019Afrique serait encore d\u00e9test\u00e9e. Ses int\u00e9r\u00eats \u00a0seront de plus en plus menac\u00e9s au Niger et ailleurs. La CEDEAO \u00a0\u00e0 qui il est fait le reproche de n\u2019avoir \u00a0pas \u00a0pes\u00e9 \u00a0militairement dans la lutte contre \u00a0le terrorisme au Sahel \u00a0 aura avec cette intervention<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0son image \u00a0davantage affect\u00e9e. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Si son intervention \u00e9chouait, la situation s\u00e9curitaire \u00a0d\u00e9raperait et d\u2019autres \u00a0pays dont le Tchad et l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie vivraient la guerre \u00e0 leurs portes. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><strong><span class=\"s2\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">De la voie sinueuse et incertaine de la diplomatie<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Les \u00a0faux d\u00e9mocrates \u00a0guin\u00e9ens ont induit la CEDEAO \u00a0en erreur et lui ont caus\u00e9 \u00a0des difficult\u00e9s. En effet, \u00e0 la survenue du coup d\u2019Etat contre Alpha Cond\u00e9 le 5 septembre <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">2021,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> c\u2019est \u00a0une certaine soci\u00e9t\u00e9 \u00a0civile guin\u00e9enne \u00a0et \u00a0certains partis politiques \u00a0mus par le ressentiment qui s\u2019\u00e9taient donn\u00e9 rendez-v<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ous dans les chancelleries sous <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">r\u00e9gionales \u00a0et occidentales pour plaider la cause du CNRD. Sans nul doute, ils s\u2019attend<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">aient \u00e0 ce que \u00a0le CNRD \u00a0\u00e9limin\u00e2t <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0pour leur compte les membres du RPG et ses alli\u00e9s. La CEDEAO \u00a0a fl\u00e9chi \u00a0avec leurs supplications et plaidoyers \u00a0alors elle s\u2019est content\u00e9e \u00a0des seules sanctions. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Puis,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> elle s\u2019est jet\u00e9e \u00a0au pied du CNRD qui lui a march\u00e9 dessus. La CEDEAO \u00a0a mendi\u00e9 \u00a0un chronogramme de la transition \u00e0 la <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Guin\u00e9e. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Les autorit\u00e9s de la transition lui ont<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> dit sans rien lui conc\u00e9der :\u00a0\u00ab 24 mois\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> apr\u00e8s qu\u2019elles ont fait 12 mois non d\u00e9compt\u00e9s. \u00a0Apr\u00e8s, elle doit concourir \u00a0sur le plan financier \u00e0 la r\u00e9alisation du chronogramme de la transition. Soit elle <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">paie,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> alors elle \u00f4te des pr\u00e9textes \u00a0de ne pas \u00a0respecter la dur\u00e9e \u00a0de la transition au CNRD, \u00a0soit elle ne fait rien alors \u00a0la dur\u00e9e de la transition sera prorog\u00e9e en <\/span><\/span><a name=\"_GoBack\"><\/a><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Guin\u00e9e.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\">\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">C\u2019est \u00a0de l\u00e0 que viennent les difficult\u00e9s actuelles de la CEDEAO. Elle a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00a0molle, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">accommodante<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, timor\u00e9e <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0avec \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">les <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">premiers putschistes \u00a0 et voudra se montrer ferme avec ceux nig\u00e9riens. L\u2019orgueil \u00a0nig\u00e9rien \u00a0ne voudra pas y c\u00e9der. \u00a0La CEDEAO consid\u00e8re \u00a0leur coup d\u2019Etat comme un de trop. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Alors,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> elle voudra punir <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ceux qui l\u2019ont commis et faire ce qu\u2019elle n\u2019a \u00a0fait ni au <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Mali,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> ni <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Burkina,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> ni en Guin\u00e9e : faire <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">r\u00e9tablir<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> le pr\u00e9sident d\u00e9chu. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Sa complaisance envers les premiers \u00a0a affaibli son autorit\u00e9. \u00a0Elle ne fait plus <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">peur,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> le Mali, le <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Burkina,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> la Guin\u00e9e ont \u00e9prouv\u00e9 \u00a0ses sanctions et les \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">cassandres<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">n\u2019y ont jamais vu juste. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\">\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">La CEDEAO pourra ne jamais intervenir militairement au <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Niger,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> l\u2019\u00e9vocation \u00a0de l\u2019option \u00a0militaire est pour elle un moyen de dissuasion pour amener \u00a0la junte \u00e0 \u00a0 lib\u00e9rer \u00a0le Pr\u00e9sident <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Bazoum<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> et pour aussi \u00a0le r\u00e9tablir. \u00a0Il pourra y \u00eatre lib\u00e9r\u00e9 \u00a0sans jamais \u00eatre \u00a0r\u00e9tabli dans ses fonctions de Pr\u00e9sident. Une transition s\u2019y tiendra conduite par les civil<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">s pour une dur\u00e9e \u00a0raisonnable. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">La le\u00e7on \u00a0\u00e0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> tirer <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0des difficult\u00e9s \u00a0de la CEDEAO \u00a0est qu\u2019elle \u00a0doit <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u0153uvrer<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> \u00e0 \u00a0lutter contre ce qui conduit aux coups d\u2019Etat, \u00a0\u00e0 savoir : les absences de d\u00e9mocratie \u00a0au sein de ses Etats membres et le terrorisme qui affaiblit les gouvernements. Elle ne devra plus confondre \u00a0d\u00e9mocratie \u00e0 l\u2019alternance politique. Dans nombre de ses pays <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">membres,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> les \u00a0chefs d\u2019Etat changent les constitutions pour leurs <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">compt<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">es,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> violent les droits de l\u2019homme <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">et les libert\u00e9s publiques. \u00a0Elle doit lutter \u00a0contre \u00a0les ruptures de d\u00e9mocratie actuelles et emp\u00eacher \u00a0la survenue de nouvelles. Pour y arriver, elle devra privil\u00e9gier \u00a0la voie de la <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">diplomatie,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> la m\u00eame \u00a0qu\u2019elle a utilis\u00e9e au Mali, au Burkina Faso et en Guin\u00e9e. \u00a0L\u2019intervention militaire est trop co\u00fbteuse \u00a0sur les plans \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">humains,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00e9conomiques et <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">s\u00e9curitaires. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">En y <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">recourant,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> elle pourra r\u00e9ussir ses ambitions de renversement des m\u00e9chants \u00a0pour le r\u00e9tablissement \u00a0du <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">parangon<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> \u00a0de vertus. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">R\u00e9tabli,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> il \u00a0sera \u00a0docile \u00a0envers ceux qui l\u2019ont \u00a0r\u00e9tabli \u00a0et revanchard \u00a0envers ceux qui \u00a0l\u2019ont \u00a0fait tomber. Pour \u00e9viter \u00a0cela, la CEDEAO \u00a0doit privil\u00e9gier \u00a0la voie \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">m\u00e9diane,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> la seule \u00a0qui garantit la paix : une nouvelle transition au Niger \u00a0sans <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Bazoum<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0et non conduite \u00a0par le CNSP. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s3\"><strong><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Ibrahima <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Sanoh<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>L\u2019article <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/mediaguinee.com\/le-labyrinthe-nigerien-ou-le-dilemme-de-la-cedeao-ibrahima-sanoh\/\">Le labyrinthe nig\u00e9rien ou le dilemme de la CEDEAO [Ibrahima Sanoh]<\/a> est apparu en premier sur <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/mediaguinee.com\/\">Mediaguinee.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deux \u00a0semaines apr\u00e8s la survenue du coup d\u2019Etat au Niger, la CEDEAO qui avait donn\u00e9 un ultimatum \u00e0 la junte ayant accapar\u00e9 \u00a0le pouvoir \u00a0dans ce pays \u00a0peine \u00e0 y faire valoir son option militaire. \u00a0Celle-l\u00e0 est d\u00e9conseill\u00e9e \u00a0par certains pays dont les Etats-Unis d\u2019Am\u00e9rique. Apr\u00e8s \u00a0avoir d\u00e9nonc\u00e9 \u00a0le coup d\u2019Etat, la CEDEAO,comme elle l\u2019a &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[23],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61565"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=61565"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61565\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=61565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=61565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uk.ambagn.staging.e-kaidi.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=61565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}